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27] “He noted that in early 2023 this model suggested only a 12% chance of a recession[.]” [28] Other Negative Indicators On top of the foregoing, some negative indicators are sprouting. For consumers, “[c]redit card delinquencies surged more than 50% in 2023 as total consumer debt swelled to $17.5 billion from $11.2 billion.” [37]
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